多维邻近性对流动人口回流意愿的影响——基于中国流动人口动态监测数据的实证     

李雨婷  喻忠磊  苗长虹  张静  袁留阳  侯晓静 《地理科学进展》2022,41(8):1403-1415

随着城市产业转型升级和县域经济快速发展,人口回流已成为现阶段中国人口迁移与流动过程中的重要组成部分,回流劳动力是乡村振兴和新型城镇化的重要力量,对于区域协调发展意义重大。距离是人口流动空间选择的核心解释变量,在多维邻近性视角下探究多种距离对流动人口回流的影响,有利于深化对人口回流机制的理解。论文借鉴多维邻近性分析框架,基于2016年中国流动人口动态监测调查数据,采用二元Logistic回归模型探究地理、制度和社会邻近性对流动人口回流意愿的影响。研究表明：① 回流群体主要是受教育水平较低的大龄已婚流动人口,其在劳动力市场不占优势,但家庭对其情感需求与依赖较大,回流意愿明显。② 不同维度邻近性均对流动人口回流意愿有较强解释力,地理、制度和社会邻近性对回流意愿均有显著负向影响,长距离跨省或跨方言区迁移的劳动力回流意愿更为强烈。③ 不同邻近性对回流意愿的影响存在群体异质性。高学历群体回流意愿受其所在流入地参保情况的抑制,同时受到方言和地理距离的不同影响;新生代流动人口则较易受非正式制度邻近性影响而选择回流;长期外出劳动力的回流意愿会因其已熟悉流入地方言并在流入地积极参保而降低。  相似文献   

The settlement intention of urban-to-urban migrants in China: Spatial differences and driving factors     

WANG Xinming  QI Wei  LIU Shenghe  LIU Zhen  GAO Ping  JIN Haoran 《地理学报(英文版)》2022,32(12):2503-2524

China has entered the middle-to-late stage of urbanization. The scale of urban- to-urban migrants, which more refers to the urban-to-urban floating population (UUFP) across China, has significantly increased. UUFP settlement intention is a crucial issue for urbanization development. This study examines the spatial pattern and factors influencing the settlement intention of the UUFP in China based on data obtained through its dynamic monitoring in 2017 and the binary logistic model. The results show that most members of the UUFP were married, older, better educated, and had a higher income than the average person with extensive migration experience. We correlated a high settlement intention with developed economies, coastal areas, good environmental conditions, and more amenities in cities such as Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai, and Zhuhai. Amenities were more impactful on settlement intention than economic factors, from individual and regional perspectives. The UUFP more often sought equality of education for children and social integration in its choices of destinations. However, the distance was not a hindrance to intention to settle but played a substantial role in influencing it. We suggest optimizing the stock of the UUFP in large cities, improving public education services, and promoting remote urbanization. Likewise, industrial transfer and enhanced public resources may ease the pressure of large UUFP flows into large cities.  相似文献   

Evaluation of Inner Mongolia Wind Erosion Prevention Service based on Land Use and the RWEQ Model     

WANG Yangyang  XIAO Yu  XU Jie  XIE Gaodi  QIN Keyu  LIU Jingya  NIU Yingnan  GAN Shuang  HUANG Mengdong 《资源与生态学报(英文版)》2022,13(5):763-774

Inner Mongolia is the important ecological barrier zone in northern China, which plays an important role in the prevention and control of wind in the regional ecosystem. Based on the Revised Wind Erosion Equation (RWEQ) model and the cost-recovery method, this study simulated the wind erosion prevention service (WEPS) in Inner Mongolia in 2010 and 2015, investigated the spatial pattern of material and monetary value of WEPS, and analyzed the differences among various cities and various ecosystems. The results indicated that the total WEPS of Inner Mongolia was estimated to be 73.87×10⁸ t in 2015, which was 4.61×10⁸ t less than in 2010, while the monetary value of WEPS was calculated to be 738.66×10⁸ yuan in 2015, which was 46.16×10⁸ yuan less than in 2010. Among all the leagues and cities, Xilin Gol League supported the highest WEPS, reaching 18.65×10⁸ t in 2015, while Wuhai provided the lowest. The WEPS of Hulunbeier increased the most, by 4.37×10⁸ t from 2010 to 2015. The WEPS in the grassland ecosystem was the highest among the different ecosystems, accounting for more than 55% of the total WEPS in Inner Mongolia, but it was reduced by 1.05×10⁸ t during the same period. The WEPS in the forest ecosystem increased the most, reaching 0.19×10⁸ t. This study found that the implementation of projects such as returning farmland to forests and grasses and sand control effectively increased the WEPS by increasing the forest area. However, unsuitable land use increased the desertification of ecosystems which resulted in a reduction of WEPS in Inner Mongolia.  相似文献   

吕宋冷涡的年际变化及影响机制分析          下载免费PDF全文

邓思捷  谢玲玲  朱振坤  李君益 《海洋科学进展》2022,40(1):13-26

基于吕宋岛附近海域1985-2020年的海表温度、风应力和海面高度等卫星资料,分析吕宋冷涡(Luzon Cold Eddy,LCE)强度及中心位置的年际及长期变化趋势,探讨风场和黑潮入侵在LCE变化过程中的作用.结果 表明:35 a来,LCE整体呈现减弱趋势,其中心位置最大概率出现在(117°54′E,18°06′N)...  相似文献   

小麦玉米田耕作模式的防风蚀效果   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

杨彩红  冯福学  柴强  耿艳香  伏星舟 《中国沙漠》2019,39(4):9-15

通过风洞实验，在5个风速下对6种耕作方式下农田土壤风蚀速率、0~20 cm风沙流结构进行了模拟研究。结果表明：保护性耕作土壤风蚀速率较传统耕作平均降低20%~40%；保护性耕作和传统耕作条件下土壤风蚀速率均随风速的增大呈幂函数递增，但在传统耕作条件下递增较快；风速14 m·s^-1是荒漠绿洲农田土壤风蚀加剧转折点，当风速>14 m·s^-1时保护性耕作下风蚀速率较传统耕作明显降低；0~20 cm内，传统耕作和保护性耕作下输沙率与高度分别呈线性和指数关系，保护性耕作下0~4 cm输沙量和输沙量百分比（Q_0~4/Q_0~20）均低于传统耕作。  相似文献   

OSL chronology of sand deposits and climate change of last 18 ka in Gurbantunggut Desert,northwest China     

Sheng‐Hua Li  Anchuan Fan 《第四纪科学杂志》2011,26(8):813-818

The development of the Gurbantunggut Desert is mainly controlled by the Westerly wind, and at present has little influence from Indian and Southeast Asian monsoons. A combined study using optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) dating, ground‐penetrating radar (GPR) surveys and climatic proxies analysis was carried out in the southern part of the desert. The chronology extends back to 18 ka and is constructed based on 16 OSL ages from boreholes in the linear dune body and the inter‐dune area. The chronology suggests that sand deposition in the last 18 ka experienced two rapid accumulation phases at 11 and 2.5 ka ago which were also evident from the GPR surveys. These periods relate to increased aridity in the region. Five climate phases are identified from the last 18 ka, based on the OSL chronology and climatic proxy analysis with grain size and magnetic susceptibility measurements. The deglacial period (18.3–10.4 ka) is characterized by climate instability and possible glacial melting events. The Holocene Optimum peaked 8.5 ka and terminated 3.6 ka ago, when the regional climate became arid. OSL samples from the dune body cluster around 2.5 ka, which indicates rapid advance/extension of dune bodies at this time. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

一种新的台风海面风场的拟合方法   总被引：6，自引：1，他引：6       下载免费PDF全文

盛立芳  吴增茂 《热带气象学报》1993,9(3):265-271

基于台风风场的经验风公式和修正的梯度风方程并考虑了台风气压场的非对称性,提出了一种新型的台风风场合成模式。经过对10多个不同类型热带气旋(台风)的检验,结果表明,新的模式可以模拟出各种强度及不同眼半径台风的海面风场,比以往常用模式能更真实地反映实际台风风场。  相似文献   

登陆台风的多普勒雷达资料质量控制和水平风场反演          下载免费PDF全文

刘淑媛  闫丽凤  孙健 《热带气象学报》2008,24(2):105-110

消除噪音和速度模糊、进行水平风场的反演并检验是正确使用和充分利用多普勒雷达探测资料的前提.对2005年8月山东烟台多普勒雷达探测到的0509号台风"麦莎"的存在速度模糊的径向速度资料首先进行噪音和速度模糊消除处理,检验结果表明对资料的退模糊处理是成功的;其次进行了水平风场的反演,并对反演的风场从雷达径向速度的特征、大尺度环境风场特征、与卫星云图云带的对比和以台风中心为圆心计算的径向风垂直剖面特征等方面进行检验.结果表明,利用单多普勒雷达探测资料得到的水平风场能够清晰地给出登陆热带气旋内部存在的中小尺度系统,及其水平和垂直结构,并表明与台风外围雨带强降水区域相对应的是明显的中尺度水平风场的切变与辐合区.反演风场也可以为进一步利用单多普勒雷达探测资料分析和研究登陆台风内部的中尺度结构提供高分辨率的可靠的分析资料.同时证明,使用的退速度模糊方法能够有效地应用于较完整资料的速度模糊的自动消除,以及VAP方法对于中小尺度风场分析的实用性.  相似文献   

热带气旋变性过程客观判别方法在“海马”变性过程中的应用   总被引：2，自引：4，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

张迎新  张守保  王福侠 《热带气象学报》2008,24(4):341-348

介绍了一种判别热带气旋变性过程的客观方法.此客观方法使用三个判别参数: 对流层低层热力非对称参数B、高低层的热成风、对变性过程进行诊断判别.此方法使用格点的数值预报产品,计算简单、使用方便,便于业务化.同时针对2004年影响我国的0421号热带风暴"海马",使用NCEP再分析资料对其变性过程进行了分析验证,结果表明:此客观方法所定义的三个判别参数B、、在"海马"的变性过程中有很好的指示作用.  相似文献   

A 300-kyr record of aridity and wind strength in southwestern Africa: inferences from grain-size distributions of sediments on Walvis Ridge, SE Atlantic   总被引：13，自引：0，他引：13  

Jan-Berend W. Stuut  Maarten A. Prins  Ralph R. Schneider  Gert Jan Weltje  J. H. Fred Jansen  George Postma 《Marine Geology》2002,180(1-4):221-233

The terrigenous fraction of sediments recovered from Walvis Ridge, SE Atlantic Ocean, reveals a history of southwestern African climate of the last 300 kyr. End-member modelling of a data set of grain-size distributions (n=428) results in three end members. The two coarsest end members are interpreted as eolian dust, the third end member as hemipelagic mud. The ratio of the two eolian end members reflects the eolian grain size and is attributed to the intensity of the SE trade winds. Trade winds were intensified during glacials compared to interglacials. Changes in the ratio of the two eolian end members over the hemipelagic one are interpreted as variations in southwestern African aridity. Late Quaternary southwestern African climate was relatively arid during the interglacial stages and relatively humid during the glacial stages, owing to meridional shifts in the atmospheric circulation system. During glacials the polar front shifted equatorward, resulting in a northward displacement of the zone of westerlies, causing increased rainfall in southwestern Africa. The equatorward shift of the polar front is coupled with an increase of the meridional pressure gradient, leading to enhanced atmospheric circulation and increased trade-wind intensity.  相似文献